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Friday, October 20, 2017
Posted on 10/20/2017 10:45 p.m. New Correction on: #90518 At what number of credits will BYU no longer let you change you major (or will ...
Question #90530 posted on 10/20/2017 9:44 p.m.
Q:

Dear Mitty,

Okay, I'll bite. How are the Trevor Seimian led Denver Broncos going to win Super Bowl 52?

-Tipperary

A:

Dear Tipperary,

I'm so glad you asked! Buckle up folks! (All statistics were found at ESPN and Pro Football Reference)

To begin, let's examine the similarities between this year's team, and the 2015 Broncos team that won Super Bowl 50. First, the quarterbacks. The table below compares Peyton Manning and Brock Osweiler, the Broncos quarterbacks in 2015, to Trevor Siemian, the Broncos current quarterback.

  Touchdowns Interceptions Passer Rating
Manning 9 17 67.9
Osweiler 10 6 86.4
Siemian  8 6 84.1


As you can see, Peyton Manning was a shadow of his former self. His 67.9 passer rating and 9 touchdowns were easily the worst of his career. Siemian has fluctuated during his five games so far this year. After throwing 4 touchdowns against Dallas, I was ready to crown him MVP. However, he has descended back to the level of "game manager" in recent games. For the Broncos to win, he needs to take better care of the ball, but the Broncos really don't need him to do much more than that. However, the Dallas game showed that Siemian can definitely get points on the board.

The rushing offense in 2015 was fairly mediocre, averaging 107.4 yards per game and 0.8 touchdowns per game. So far, the rushing attack in 2017 is similar, averaging 123.6 yards per game, and 0.6 touchdowns per game. However, I do believe that the rushing attack will be better by the end of the year, since I like the running backs the Broncos have this year a lot more than I like the running crew of 2015. Also, as it gets colder outside, teams tend to run the ball more, thus increasing the chances for the running backs to improve on those numbers.

Overall, remember that the offense in 2015 only scored 32 touchdowns over the entire year, or 2 touchdowns per game. That put them near the bottom of the league in scoring offense. The 2015 team could win with such low scores due to the juggernaut that they had built on the defensive side of the ball. It doesn't matter if you only score 2 touchdowns a game if your opponent only scores one. 

So, on to the defense. Anyone who watched the Broncos in 2015 knows that the defense was the life blood of this team. The Broncos are now known for their shutdown defense, from the "no-fly zone" to the suddenly amazing run defense. Below is another table comparing the rankings of the 2015 defense to this year's defense.

  Overall Passing Rushing Scoring
2015 4 1 3 14
2017 5 3 1 7

As you can see, there has been little change. A lot of the same guys that helped to win Super Bowl 50 are still here. After allowing teams to rush all over them in 2016, a few great free agent signings has turned the rush defense into a monster. It's not like the Broncos have faced no-name running backs either. That number one in rushing defense comes after facing Melvin Gordon, Zeke Elliott, LeSean McCoy, and Marshawn Lynch. In other words, don't expect Denver's defensive dominance to go away any time soon. Are there things to improve on? Sure. The defense probably needs to generate more takeaways, and the "no-fly zone" needs to play a little better, but this defense is still fearsome, and can carry this team.

One obstacle on the Broncos' road to the playoffs is a difficult schedule. The loss to the Giants hurts even more when you look at the Broncos next four games; three away games against the Chargers, Chiefs, and Eagles, and then a home game against the Patriots. Ouch. However, if the Broncos can get 2 wins against those 4 teams, they would enter the back half of the year at 5-4. From there, the schedule eases up a lot with home games against the Bengals, Jets, and Chiefs, and away games at the Raiders, Dolphins, Colts and Redskins. I could easily see the Broncos going 10-6 or even 11-5, but they need 2 wins in the next 4 weeks. At this point, I think that we can safely assume the Broncos will be playing for a wild card, since the Chiefs suddenly decided to be the best team in the NFL.

So, let's say the Broncos make the playoffs. Based on the current playoff odds given at FiveThirtyEight the AFC playoffs would be seeded as follows:

  1. Kansas City Chiefs
  2. New England Patriots
  3. Pittsburgh Steelers
  4. Tennessee Titans
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars
  6. Denver Broncos (By FiveThirtyEight's ranking, this would actually be the Buffalo Bills, but I think they have a more difficult schedule than the Broncos and will falter down the stretch.)

This would mean that Denver's first game would be against the Steelers. I don't know about you, but watching Ben Roethlisberger throw 5 interceptions against the Jaguars makes me think that the Broncos could win this game. It would be a tough, physical game, but that is exactly the type of game that the Broncos are built to win. That would mean that the Broncos second game would come against the Patriots. This would be an extremely interesting game. The Patriots have one of the best offenses in the NFL. The Broncos have one of the best defenses. Meanwhile, the Broncos offense is average and the Patriots defense is horrendous. This would come down to how well the defense could slow down Tom Brady. They've done it before, and I have no doubt that they would be able to do it again.

The AFC Championship would be the Chiefs and the Broncos. I'm not going to lie, I am not planning on the Broncos beating the Chiefs in the regular season. However, this would be the third time these two would play this season. I think the Broncos would be fired up and the Chiefs would be thinking about who they want to sit next to on the way to the Super Bowl. In a surprising upset, the Broncos sneak out of Arrowhead stadium with the win!

Assuming that the team with the best current record in the NFC makes it to the Super Bowl, I think you would have Denver vs. Philadelphia. We'll have a chance to preview this match in a few weeks, and I think Denver's defense proves too much for young Carson Wentz. Von Miller is crowned Super Bowl MVP once more, and the Broncos win Super Bowl 52.

TL;DR—The defense carries a mediocre offense once again and wins the Super Bowl.

-Mitty


0 Corrections
Question #90529 posted on 10/20/2017 8:56 p.m.
Q:

Dear 100 Hour Board,

Is it just me or does the JSB smell like it has a mice problem? Every time I walk in there it reminds me of the smell of my cabin that had mice living in it.

-T.C.

A:

Dear friend,

Apparently, you can smell rodent problems. It's supposed to be a sort of damp, musty smell. Is that what the JSB smells like to you? Personally, I feel like it wouldn't make the top three of "mustiest buildings on campus" but to each their own. It could just be that your cabin was maybe an older building and the JSB is also relatively old.

-Van Goff


0 Corrections
Question #90528 posted on 10/20/2017 7:26 p.m.
Q:

Dear 100 Hour Board,

Are the tunnels underneath campus all connected? I've seen a few hatches open this week (One down by the Cannon Center, One by the JKB, and one by the SWKT) and I'm curious if they're all part of the same system.

-Undergound & Curious

A:

Dear you,

This depends on your definition of connected. On the one hand, all of the tunnels touch; you could draw the whole tunnel system without lifting your drawing instrument of choice. However, there are areas that have walls in between different sections, thus impeding human and tunnel worm travel. In that sense, the tunnels are not all connected; you cannot walk from one end of the tunnels to the other without coming up to the surface a few times. 

They are all part of the same system though. Physical facilities uses the tunnels to transport utilities such as water and electrical lines through campus. These lines do pass through the walls and service all of campus, creating one closed system. 

In other words? Yes and no. The tunnels are a mysterious place my friend.

-Mitty


0 Corrections
Question #90527 posted on 10/20/2017 6:08 p.m.
Q:

Dear 100 Hour Board,

I need fashion advice! I recently acquired some darker teal boots, but so far I've only been able to make one outfit where I think they look good. The color doesn't work well with my darker blue jeans and they're a mid-height boot so they're tricky to wear with my skirts too. What color bottoms would work with teal? They're such a fun color, but I've never owned something like these want I look put together!

-Teal boots girl

A:

Dear Girlia,

I'm thinking that black leggings are definitely going to be your friend here. Additionally, white, beige, (light) gray, or really any neutral toned pants would be good. 

Without seeing the exact tone of your boots and what kinds of clothes you have to pair with them, I don't think I can offer more specific advice on creating outfits.

~Anathema


0 Corrections
Posted on 10/20/2017 4:27 p.m. New Correction on: #90525 How long do ecclesiastical endorsements at the Y last? I'm asking because I plan on graduating ...
Posted on 10/20/2017 4:27 p.m. New Correction on: #90475 Let's say you live in a town of 3,000 people. You are friends with about 300 ...
Question #90525 posted on 10/20/2017 3:44 a.m.
Q:

Dear 100 Hour Board,

How long do ecclesiastical endorsements at the Y last? I'm asking because I plan on graduating in April but renewals happen in March. Will I need to renew before I graduate?

-Senioritis

A:

Dear Almost There,

I talked to the lovely people at BYU Onestop and they said that you will not have to renew your ecclesiastical endorsement in March if you are graduating that same April.

Peace,

Tipperary


1 Correction
Question #90523 posted on 10/20/2017 2:08 a.m.
Q:

Can anyone help me find a conference talk? It's from the last ten years and a Seventy told the story of planting a certain rare tree/bush in a spot in his yard only to have it die 2-3 times. But finally the tree/bush was so well established that it was thriving, and then it was so strong that he kept trying to pull it out/kill it and it kept coming back (I guess he changed his mind about the placement of it or something?).

I've searched the conference talks database for "bush," "yard," etc. but no matter what I can't find this talk! Any help is greatly appreciated.

A:

Dear Mr. Bush,

I searched the General Conference Corpus, which is a database that has every single general conference talk since 1851. You can search by word and by decade, and it will show you every instance of a word or string of words. I searched "tree", "yard", "plant", and "bush" from 1990-2017 and I could not find the talk you were looking for. The closest story I could find was from Elder Ballard's Talk "This Is My Work and Glory", which talks about a tomato plant his granddaughter had. The plant withered, but they took care of it and it grew, and the seeds that came from the tomatoes were enough to make thousands of tomato plants. Maybe the talk was given in a devotional or published in the Ensign. If any readers know of the talk, please feel free to leave a correction.

Peace,

Tipperary


0 Corrections
Question #90522 posted on 10/20/2017 1:50 a.m.
Q:

Dear 100 Hour Board,

Because I have depression, prayer is hard for me. I feel like when I really kneel down and pray aloud, it takes a long time and I'm crying at the end of it. It's hard to commit to that kind of time and energy. I think it comes down to rumination--which is something people with depression are supposed to avoid. Instead of thinking about my problems (and prayer involves some of that), I've been taught to take action instead. So if I'm feeling bad, I try not to think about it (since it's likely just a depressive mood), and go read a book or take a walk instead. So my question is, any thoughts on sticking with prayer without it turning into a depressive rumination fest?

-All This Heavy Thinking, This Is Not Good

A:

Dear heavy thinker,

A few years back I went through a period of severe trust issues and depression. I had the same experience as you—my prayers only reminded me of my problems, and I often felt worse about my life after each one. During that time I decided that I would only pray for other people, because the alternative was too painful. So for a month or two I never mentioned myself in prayers, but instead focused on praying for the welfare of my friends and family and those around me. I strongly believe that that helped me the most during that time.

I hope everything gets better, and if you ever need someone to talk to, I hope you'll email me at guppyofdoom@theboard.byu.edu.

-guppy of doom

A:

Dear you,

Prayers don't have to be long to be good. You can have a heartfelt prayer that only lasts for a few seconds that's just as spiritual as a 10 minute long prayer. 

Another thing I want to say is that it's okay for you to just say a prayer of things that are good. If you don't want to focus on your problems, just say a prayer on one little thing that went right in your day. 

Good luck, my friend, and know that my best wishes go with you.

~Anathema


0 Corrections
Thursday, October 19, 2017
Posted on 10/19/2017 8:20 p.m. New Correction on: #90518 At what number of credits will BYU no longer let you change you major (or will ...
Question #90515 posted on 10/19/2017 8:14 p.m.
Q:

Dear 100 Hour Board,

How can I consolidate my music? On my computer, I've ended up with three copies in three different folders of some songs, through transferring between computers and downloading from Google Play backup.

I'm currently using iTunes on my computer, and that got rid of duplicates on the playlist, but now I have folders with no music and music from the same CD in three different folders.

Is there any way that I can have something search all of the files in my music folder, and put them into new folders based on one criteria?

-Zwerg Zwei

A:

Dear ZZ,

iTunes actually has a feature to do this. First, under Preferences, go to Advanced and make sure your iTunes media folder is where you want it. On that tab, you can press "Keep iTunes Media folder organized." It should then put everything into proper folders by artist and album.

If you have files outside of you iTunes media folder, iTunes can automatically move them to your media folder. The options to do that are under File > Library > Organize Library.

-Kirito


0 Corrections
Question #90512 posted on 10/19/2017 8:14 p.m.
Q:

Dear co-cospirators,

I just got involved with an epic prank war, do you have any good pranks that I could pull?

-SecretSpyAgentOlga

A:

Dear Secret Agent Olga,

I love pranks! I don't know if you're in a prank war with your roommates, with another apartment of friends who you want to go full prank mode on, with an apartment of cute boys who you want to prank flirtily with, or what, so I'm just going to give you tons of different ideas, and you can choose the ones you think work best for your particular prank-ee.

  • Get a thick phonebook, cover it with beautiful frosting so it looks like a cake, and give it to them. 
  • If they have a detachable shower head, fill it to the brim with Kool Aid mix, then screw it back on. When they turn on the shower, Kool Aid will come out and they'll smell all tooty-fruity (or at least their bathroom will).
  • Put Kool Aid mix in the bristles of their toothbrush (I think blue is the least conspicuous color for this).
  • Turn all the furniture in their apartment upside down.
  • Buy a pack of Oreos, scrape out all the creme and replace it with white toothpaste, then give them the Oreos.
  • Seran wrap their car.
  • Seran wrap their front door so they can't leave the apartment.
  • Put peanut butter (or toothpaste, if they're allergic to peanuts) underneath their door handles, so they'll get peanut butter all over their hands when they open their car door.
  • Steal their mattress.
  • Put mashed potatoes at the foot of their bed between the sheets. If that seems too mean to you, put mashed potatoes in a ziplock or something, and put it in their pillowcase. They'll still feel the disgusting squish, but it won't be as messy.
  • TP absolutely everything inside their apartment.
  • Cover their entire car/bed/living area with post-it notes.
  • Hide scary pictures of Nicholas Cage (any of these would do nicely) all over their apartment in strategic places. For example, good hiding places for these are right above their pillow, in the microwave, in their underwear drawer, under the toilet lid, and inside their closed laptop.
  • Buy a creepy life sized doll and hang it in their closet (not like noose-around-its-neck hang, but just tied to something so it's upright when they open their closet).
  • Get on their computer, go to fakeupdate.net, pick the appropriate screen for an update on whatever style computer they have, and then hit F11 to fullscreen it. It will look like their computer is endlessly updating, and the only way to get out of it is to hit F11 again.

All of these are pranks that I have either been on the receiving end of, or have done/planned to do to someone else but never got around to actually doing, so I can vouch for their hilarity. Man, I miss prank wars. Married life is great and all, but it's just not as conducive to prank wars as not-married life.

-Alta

A:

Dear Not-So-Secret-Anymore-Agent,

Nothing can beat a good prank. Now I really want to start a prank war... Anyways, in general good pranks are creative, unexpected, and aren't terribly difficult to clean up. Here are a few ideas that I have found or came up with:

  • Grind up some Altoid mints and mix them into the salt salt shaker so that their food mysteriously tastes like mint.
  • Mix some essential oils in with their laundry soap so their clothes smell like cinnamon for a month.
  • Hide an alarm clock in their room and set it to go off in the middle of the night. Bonus points if you can have the alarm make quacking noises instead of beeping.
  • Go to the dollar store get some old decorations and decorate their room with Halloween decorations in April, or 4th of July in December.
  • Convince large groups of people to sing them happy birthday throughout the day when it's not their birthday. We did this to a friend 5 times in a single day and it was great.
  • Cover their apartment in hundreds of tiny rubber ducks.
  • Cut out some cardboard in the shape of their insoles, and slide it in under their insoles so that their shoes mysteriously don't quite fit.
  • Hire a mariachi band to follow them around.
  • After numerous pranks, bake them a nice cake and give it to them with a mischievous smile. They will tear the cake apart looking for a prank only to find none. They will rack their brains trying to figure out what you did but they'll never know.

I think these would be funny. Hopefully there are a few here that you'll like. Good luck with your prank war. May the odds be ever in your favor!

Peace,

Tipperary

A:

Dear Agent,

Here are just a couple of suggestions:

  • Give them cookies made with salt instead of sugar.
  • Put bang snaps under their toilet seat.
  • Hang a giant fake (or real if you were really terrible I guess... ) spider on their door, so it will drop in their face when they open the door.
  • Tilt all of the paintings/pictures on their walls so nothing is hanging straight (I suppose this only counts as a prank if the people are a bit OCD).
  • Put out a public advertisement somewhere that this person (or people) is giving away free puppies.
  • Give them a bag of Ghirardelli chocolates that's really just full-looking empty wrappers.

~Anathema


0 Corrections
Question #90475 posted on 10/19/2017 8:04 p.m.
Q:

Dear 100 Hour Board,

Let's say you live in a town of 3,000 people. You are friends with about 300 people. What is the probability that you will meet someone you know in a random grouping of 30 of those 3,000 people?

this has nothing to do with living on an island btw

-☮man

A:

Dear Peace,

The solution for this problem is a simple one sample z-test for proportions. It tests the probability of getting a certain proportion in a certain sample size given a certain population proportion. In this case, our sample size is 29 (the other 29 people in the random group), the population proportion is 0.1 (300/3000), and the sample proportion is 0 (we're testing the probability of not knowing anyone in the random group).

If we plug in those numbers, z=-1.795. This translates to a p-value of 0.0363, meaning that there's a 3.63% chance that you won't know anyone in any random group of 29 other people and yourself.

-The Entomophagist

A:

Dear Peace Train,

It's a trick question because even if you only know 300 people all 3,000 know you and so when you go to the movie theater with your siblings and are at the concession stand the cashier asks for your name and then the guy next to you (who looks vaguely familiar) says "You don't know who he is?" to which the cashier responds "Well I mean I knew that he was one of the [Rubik] boys but I couldn't remember which one."

-Frère Rubik is from a town of 3,000 people, if that wasn't apparent.

A:

Dear Peaces and Cream,

Dunbar's Number might effect this scenario in an interesting way, though I'm not sure how yet. According to Dunbar, people can only sustain about 150 stable human relationships. Other research shows tribe/group number capacity being related to a species brain size.

I guess it just begs the question-- even if you "know" 300 people, how many would you recognize immediately, remember their name, let alone actually want to acknowledge that you know them. Out of 300 people it seems like even acquiantances would stand out, even if you couldnt remember their name. 

I'm just saying, if it were me, I would probably remember significantly less people and want to talk to even less people. My number would be pretty low.

Babalugats


1 Correction
Question #90464 posted on 10/19/2017 8:02 p.m.
Q:

Dear 100 Hour Board,

How many people actually read the Board? And how many registered readers are there?

-Se7en

A:

Dear Cannibal,

According to Google Analytics, we have:

  • 1.1K daily users
  • 5.4K weekly users
  • 23K monthly users
  • And 8 users on the page while I'm writing this at 11:20 AM
  • Ooh, it just turned to 9 users on the page right now. This is fun!

There are 10,519 registered users but 368 of those accounts are either banned or were deleted by their owner.

I don't really want to go through the effort to find out how many of those people logged on within the last 30 days or anything like that so I'll just conclude that many visitors appear to not be registered with the Board.

You didn't ask for this but I thought it would be fun to know as well, there are currently 19 official Board Writers, 4 Probational Writers, and 3 Web Masters.

If you are one of those visitors, if you register you can ask questions and give answers that you like a thumbs up. And we all know that Green Thumbs are the life-blood of Writers for the Board.

-Spectre


0 Corrections
Posted on 10/19/2017 7:07 p.m. New Correction on: #90519 Any ideas for fun summer jobs for newlyweds? Preferably outdoors, good atmosphere, similar schedule to one ...